Variations climatiques:La région du Centre en difficulté

La variabilité de la longueur et des débuts de la petite saison des pluies, associée aux fortes variations des précipitations et aux fortes températures, entrainent  la baisse des rendements  des cultures phares de cette région.

Une augmentation de la température de 1% par rapport à la moyenne qui est de 25.74°C, entraine toute chose étant égal par ailleurs, une baisse du rendement de haricot de 4.31%. Les pertes manuelles annuelles résultant de la baisse du rendement de haricot, du plantain, de l’arachide, du manioc et du maïs s’élèvent respectivement à 644 484 969 Fcfa,  6 989 557 031 Fcfa ,149 224 602 Fcfa, 5 913 496 505b Fcfa et 172 074 819 Fcfa

Les plus bas rendements de ces cultures sont globalement enregistrés lorsque la température moyenne annuelle est comprise entre 26.1 et 26.3°C, les quantités de précipitations sont comprises entre 707.8 et 829 mm, les pluies débutent pendant la première quinzaine du mois de mars et la saison des pluies dure entre trois mois et trois et demi.

Une augmentation de la quantité de la quantité des précipitations de la petite saison des pluies de 1% par rapport à la moyenne qui est de 565.33 mm, entraine une diminution du rendement du manioc de 5.08%

Une variation de 1% de la date de début des pluies pendant la petite saison par rapport à la moyenne qui est la deuxième décade du mois de mars, entraine une diminution des rendements du manioc de 2.38% et du plantain, de 4.53%.

Un prolongement de la petite saison des pluies de 1% par rapport à la durée moyenne qui est de 91 jours, entraine une diminution moyenne de haricote de 4.47%, du plantain de 4.37%, de l’arachide de 0.68%, du manioc de 2.1%et du maïs de 0.71%.

En effet, la variabilité de la longueur et des débuts de la petite saison des pluies, associée aux fortes variations des précipitations et aux fortes températures, entrainent  la baisse des rendements  des cultures phares de cette région. Un prolongement de la petite saison des pluies, associé aux fortes variations précipitations et aux fortes températures entrainent la baisse des rendements des cultures phares de cette région

Les résultats obtenus indiquent qu’au cours de la période 1998-2012, la température annuelle moyenne et la longueur de la petite  et de la grande saison des pluies ont une tendance à la hausse dans la région du Centre, alors que les précipitations sont de plus en plus précoces et ont une tendance à la baisse.

Carole AMBASSA

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